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Monday, October 26, 2026

Front pageEditionsSaturday, October 24

The Morning DriveSaturday, October 24Earlier edition

Record payments, broken car math, and margin that lives off the car

October volume is holding flat while monthly payments set records and negative equity piles up — which means the front end isn't where your month gets made.

THE PAYMENT IS THE PRODUCT

New-vehicle sales are forecast to hold at a 15.6M SAAR in October, flat year over year, but average monthly payments just hit another record — and Q3 financing data shows negative equity still grinding against every deal structure. Meanwhile used 2026 RAV4 Hybrids are averaging 116% of MSRP, which is less a market signal than a reminder that supply gaps still distort the lanes on specific nameplates. For an independent, the takeaway is blunt: your buyer is payment-capped before they walk the lot, and the trade they're bringing is probably upside down. Price to the payment, appraise the negative equity honestly, and don't fall in love with a hot-model acquisition number that only pencils for another 60 days.

WORTH A READ ON RISK

New York City sued CarGurus over its deal ratings and hidden-fee disclosures — a reminder that how a price is displayed is now as scrutinized as the price itself, including on third-party listings you don't control. Separately, CBT broke down what Congress actually passed on the so-called kill-switch provision, and The Drive has a cautionary tale about a shop that totaled a customer's Audi on an after-hours "test drive" with police calling it a civil matter. All three are worth a read with your advertising, F&I, and service-loaner practices open on the other screen. Who has your keys, and what your listings promise, are both cheaper to fix before someone else raises the question.

MARGIN BEHIND THE SALE

A SubPrime commentary makes the case that dealer-owned finance is the next real profit center, arguing retailers have monetized everything about the transaction except the paper itself. Pair that with CBT's look at building mobile service past recalls and oil changes, and a Bain global survey that keeps putting dealers at the center of the buying process in ten countries. None of this requires a 20-car showroom — a buy-here operator with a van, a tech, and a tight reconditioning loop is running the same playbook at smaller scale. The sale is the entry point; the money is in what you own after it.

WHAT TO BUY, WHAT TO DUCK

CarBuzz spent the weekend doing your appraisal homework: a ranking of luxury SUVs by how fast they depreciate and how brutally they bite out of warranty, alongside argument-starters for the sub-$12,000 Grand Cherokee diesel and the naturally aspirated Nissan Frontier V6 that RepairPal keeps putting on top of the mid-size truck reliability pile. The pattern is the one every lot already knows and half of them ignore anyway: cheap German and cheap luxury SUVs look like gross on the buy and turn into air-suspension invoices by day 45. Torque-heavy, simple, and boring sells itself to a work customer. Let somebody else own the toxic metal.

Closeline DMS

The system that wrote this brief also runs the store.

One system for inventory, CRM, desking, F&I, recon, collections, a live wholesale network and digital vehicle brochures. Built in dealerships, not in a conference room.

Closeline DMS

Read this every morning. Then go run the best store in town.

The Morning Drive is free and always will be. The system that writes it desks the deal, prices the car, chases the stip and answers the lead — for independent dealers who are tired of paying franchise money for franchise software.

Record payments, broken car math, and margin that lives off the car — CloseLine Intel, Saturday, October 24