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Monday, October 26, 2026

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The Morning DriveThursday, October 22Earlier edition

Used prices hit a four-year high, and so does the negative equity walking onto your lot

September listings averaged $27,235 as supply loosened — but the trade-ins carrying that value are buried under pandemic-era loans, and the wholesale pipes just changed hands.

HIGH PRICES, UPSIDE-DOWN TRADES

The average used listing hit $27,235 in September, the strongest since late 2022, and it happened while supply was actually improving — which tells you demand is doing the heavy lifting, not scarcity. At the same time Edmunds is flagging that the negative equity built up in 2020-21 never got worked off; it's compounding into record auto-loan debt. California's first quarterly new-vehicle gain of the year, led by hybrids, hints where that trade-in cycle restarts. Translation for your desk: your inventory is worth more and so is the metal coming at you, but the paper attached to it is heavier — appraise the loan, not just the car.

WHO OWNS THE PIPES NOW

Copart's $1.9 billion all-cash buy of ACV Auctions closed last week, and the talk has already moved to commercial consignment and franchise-dealer whole-car volume — meaning the digital wholesale lane you've been buying in now answers to the salvage giant. Meanwhile First Business Specialty Finance installed a new floorplan president over a book that runs from $1 million to $20 million-plus. Consolidation upstream tends to show up downstream as changed fee schedules, changed arbitration posture, and changed condition reports. Watch your buy fees over the next two sale cycles before you assume nothing's different.

THE ADVERTISED PRICE PROBLEM

Hidden-fee coverage is back in the consumer press, framed around the bait of an advertised number that nobody actually pays — and CarEdge is 29 episodes deep into naming specific stores on YouTube, which is a distribution channel no regulator needs. Same outfit is also publishing "dealer green flags," which is the other half of the trade: buyers now shop stores, not just cars. Worth a read with your ad copy and your doc-fee disclosure open on the other screen. The cheapest reputation insurance is making your listed price survive contact with the finance office.

THE MIX IS MOVING TO HYBRID

Mary Barra told analysts GM is adding hybrids across multiple segments because fuel prices are pushing buyers there, and NHTSA just finalized a CAFE target of 34.9 mpg by 2031 — down from roughly 50 — which removes the regulatory gun from the industry's back on pure EVs. On the other end, the Jeep Recon moved ten units in 45 days at $66,995, a reminder that an expensive electric crossover with range questions is a hard sell even new. For a used lot, that's a stocking signal: hybrids hold their story in a high-gas-price fall, and off-lease EV crossovers will keep getting cheaper to buy and harder to turn.

Closeline DMS

The system that wrote this brief also runs the store.

One system for inventory, CRM, desking, F&I, recon, collections, a live wholesale network and digital vehicle brochures. Built in dealerships, not in a conference room.

Closeline DMS

Read this every morning. Then go run the best store in town.

The Morning Drive is free and always will be. The system that writes it desks the deal, prices the car, chases the stip and answers the lead — for independent dealers who are tired of paying franchise money for franchise software.

Used prices hit a four-year high, and so does the negative equity walking onto your lot — CloseLine Intel, Thursday, October 22