Front pageEditionsTuesday, September 15
Used Prices Hit a Four-Year High While Lenders Quietly Open the Spigot
August listings averaged $27,239 — the priciest since 2022 — and credit access loosened in the same breath. Cheap inventory is the whole ballgame this fall.
Used listing prices averaged $27,239 in August, up about 7% and the highest since December 2022, with inventory down another 1.1% — so the squeeze is on supply, not demand. At the same time, Cox says lenders loosened access in August, including in the riskier tiers, and new subprime pipelines are forming around off-fleet units. That combination is a gift and a trap: you can get more customers bought, but you're paying up at the auction to do it. Know your walk-away number before the block starts, because the spread is where this cycle gets won or lost.
Ford is recalling 225,471 vehicles over a stack of issues — including one with no fix yet — and separately Carfax found nearly 27% of taxi and rideshare vehicles across 16 major cities carry at least one unfixed recall. A lot of those high-mile fleet units end their lives at auction, which means they end up on somebody's front line. Add the growing noise around dealer data security and transport fraud, and the theme is the same: the paperwork risk is outrunning the metal risk. Running a VIN-level open-recall check before you recon is cheap; finding out after delivery is not.
Ford put the 5.0-liter V8 back in every F-150 trim after customers made the point loudly, and cut thousands off the 2027 Raptor and Tremor by stripping content rather than capability. Meanwhile new-vehicle transaction prices keep climbing while EV pricing softens. Two reads for your lot: V8 half-tons are not going quietly, so price your gas trucks with confidence — and the de-contented off-road trims are about to reset what a three-year-old Raptor is worth. Watch that segment's residuals before you stretch on one.
Trump said he's open to Chinese automakers selling here — on the condition they build stateside and hire American workers — while current law makes that a very tall order. North of the border, Canada is chasing a C$1 trillion (~$720B) investment push as trade tension reshapes its economy. None of this changes what you buy this week, but cheap entry-level metal built in America would eventually reset the floor of the used market you live in. Read it as weather, not as a forecast.
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