Front pageEditionsFriday, October 2
Six new finance records, and nobody's throwing a party
Amounts financed, payments and terms all set highs in Q3 while one refi lender shut its door to new customers — the payment is now the whole deal.
Edmunds counted six fresh records in Q3 — amounts financed, monthly payments and loan terms all pushing higher — and it's no accident the data landed with affordability as the headline talking point. Meanwhile iLending stopped writing refinances for new customers, which quietly removes one of the few escape hatches a stretched buyer had after the fact. Add AFSA pushing back on Bloomberg's read of three million securitized subprime loans and you've got a credit conversation that's getting louder, not quieter. Translation for your desk: the structure you write today is likely the structure that customer lives with, so price the car to the payment and stress-test the back end before the lender does it for you.
GM reportedly cut its revived Bolt target to 35,000 units — a fraction of the 150,000 Fairfax was built to make — while Ford says the F-150 supplier mess is fixed but Q3 wholesale shipments still take the hit. On the other end, Hyundai is clearing out current Tucsons to make room for the redesigned 2027. Cheap new-car closeouts pull payment shoppers off your late-model crossovers, and thin new-truck pipelines keep clean used half-tons expensive at the auction. Buy accordingly: the Tucson giveaway is a two-month problem, the truck squeeze is a longer one.
Silverado EV sales fell 92% year over year and Tesla is expected to land near 461,974 deliveries, roughly 7% off last year's record — both stories are mostly about the tax credit pulling demand forward, not a market collapse. What follows is the part that touches your lot: softer new EV volume and a wave of post-credit trade-ins means used electric values stay unpredictable into winter. The counterweight is durability data, like the F-150 Lightning that ran 234,000 miles before needing a pack. If you're going to stock EVs, know the battery story cold — it's the only thing that closes the deal and the only thing that eats you alive on reconditioning.
Two small-but-annoying GM recalls hit the wire: 1,559 2016–2017 Silverados and Sierras for roof-rail airbag inflators that can rupture, and nearly 30,000 Cadillac Optiqs for a power-window anti-pinch system that may miss an obstruction. Separately, Senator Moreno is mapping next steps for the Connected Vehicle Security Act, which is worth a read if data-equipped inventory is a growing share of your lot. Those truck years are squarely in independent-lot territory — run open recalls before you photograph, not after a customer finds them on their phone.
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